The Utah GOP won three more state legislative seats than they should have in 2016 because of partisan gerrymandering according to a new analysis.
A political map-making process controlled by Ohio Republicans resulted in the party winning almost two more U.S. House seats and five more Ohio House seats in the last election than would have been expected in neutral circumstances, an Associated Press analysis has found. The analysis suggests there was a slight Republican advantage in the 2016 election produced by the redistricting in 2011 of the state's seven seats.
The methodology has been cited as "corroborative evidence" in a ruling that Wisconsin Republicans engaged in unconstitutional partisan gerrymandering for state Assembly districts.
"Republicans have done a good job of targeting those areas and getting good candidates and putting a lot of money into marginal districts, which they tend to win", he said.
Democratic House Minority Leader David Toscano said the reason why more Democrats are running this year is obvious.
The state House went from a 71-49 Democratic majority in 1994 to an 81-39 Republican majority after the 2002 election when districts were redrawn by Republican lawmakers.
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The 2016 presidential contest was awash with charges that the fix was in: Republican Donald Trump repeatedly claimed that the election was rigged against him, while Democrats have accused the Russians of stacking the odds in Trump's favor. In past years, a lack of competition let Republicans pool resources and spend heavily on a handful of competitive districts.
That figure is up significantly since the last round of redistricting after the 2010 census.
"My initial reaction when I saw it was that it did not favor our approach", said Joe Maxwell, a former Democratic lieutenant governor who had been chairman of the unsuccessful citizens' commission.
The chief architect of a Republican legislative redistricting plan has previously said politics played a key role in drawing lines, but in ways that helped incumbents in both parties. Del. Sometimes, delegates wanted the boundaries changed to draw out a potential primary challenger, Jones said. The study is based on a formula that compares the statewide average share of each party's vote in the districts with the statewide percentage of seats it wins.
At the congressional level, Republicans earned 58.6 percent of the vote but won 77.8 percent of seats, more than 10 percent above expectations.
Political maps are redrawn every 10 years after a new U.S. Census. The efficiency gap scores show Republicans picked up at least two excess seats each in MI and North Carolina.
Nationally, the analysis found that Republicans may have won as many as 22 additional congressional seats over what would have been expected based on the average vote share in congressional districts across the country.
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